Exhibit 99.1

 

 

AerCap Global Leader in Aviation Bondholder Presentation AerCap Holdings N.V. February, 2016

 

 

 

Disclaimer Incl. Forward Looking Statements & Safe Harbor  This presentation contains certain statements, estimates and forecasts with respect to future performance and events. These statements, estimates and forecasts are “forward-looking statements”. In some cases, forward-looking statements can be identified by the use of forward-looking terminology such as “may,” “might,” “should,” “expect,” “plan,” “intend,” “estimate,” “anticipate,” “believe,” “predict,” “potential” or “continue” or the negatives thereof or variations thereon or similar terminology. All statements other than statements of historical fact included in this presentation are forward-looking statements and are based on various underlying assumptions and expectations and are subject to known and unknown risks, uncertainties and assumptions and may include projections of our future financial performance based on our growth strategies and anticipated trends in our business. These statements are only predictions based on our current expectations and projections about future events. There are important factors that could cause our actual results, level of activity, performance or achievements to differ materially from the results, level of activity, performance or achievements expressed or implied in the forward-looking statements. As a result, we cannot assure you that the forward-looking statements included in this presentation will prove to be accurate or correct. In light of these risks, uncertainties and assumptions, the future performance or events described in the forward-looking statements in this presentation might not occur. Accordingly, you should not rely upon forward-looking statements as a prediction of actual results and we do not assume any responsibility for the accuracy or completeness of any of these forward-looking statements. Except as required by applicable law, we do not undertake any obligation to, and will not, update any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. No warranty or representation is given concerning such information, which must not be taken as establishing any contractual or other commitment binding upon AerCap Holdings N.V. or any of its subsidiaries or associated companies. In addition to presenting financial results in conformity with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles (“GAAP”), this presentation includes certain non-GAAP financial measures. Reconciliations of such non-GAAP financial measures are set forth or referred to in the presentation where relevant. Non-GAAP financial measures should be considered in addition to, not as a substitute for or superior to, financial measures determined in conformity with GAAP.

 

 

 

AerCap Investment Case  AerCap is the largest and most profitable aircraft lessor  Strong and resilient industry fundamentals  Global and efficient platform with high quality, diversified and transferrable assets  Stable fleet utilization through all economic cycles  Stable and durable cash flows with revenue line booked well into the future  Strong balance sheet, liquidity and access to capital  Hedging strategies to mitigate risk  Highly experienced management team with deep industry expertise

 

 

 

Strategic Initiatives Update  2015 was AerCap’s most successful year ever  We have exceeded all financial and integration targets set at announcement of ILFC acquisition  Record level of 359 lease and sale transactions completed, including ~100 widebody aircraft transactions  Over $1.7 billion of asset sales executed in 2015, almost double the original plan Debt/equity ratio of 2.9 to 1 as of 4Q 2015, within our targeted range of 2.7 - 3.0 to 1 Record liquidity of $9.2 billion as of December 31, 2015  Continued strong access to funding, with $1.9 billion raised since December at an average cost of ~3.6%  AerCap’s financial and operating performance remains very strong

 

 

 

Financial Results and Highlights  Financial Results ADJUSTED NET INCOME $1,275.8 million for FY 2015 ($1,178.7 million reported) $282.1 million for 4Q 2015 ($264.2 million reported) ADJUSTED BASIC EARNINGS PER SHARE1 $6.26 for FY 2015 ($5.78 reported) $1.43 for 4Q 2015 ($1.34 reported) Highlights 405 aircraft transactions in 2015, including 117 widebody transactions $9.2 billion of available liquidity² $1.9 billion of funding raised since December 1, 2015, at an average cost of ~3.6% 99.5% fleet utilization 5.9 years of average remaining lease term² Over 85% of aircraft deliveries through 2018 have been leased³ 2.9 to 1 debt/equity ratio² Book value per share over $42⁴ $400 million Share Repurchase Program authorized (1) Calculated using basic weighted average shares outstanding of 197 million for 4Q 2015 and 204 million for FY 2015. (2) As of December 31, 2015. (3) Leased under a contract or letter of intent on an average 12-year lease term. (4) Shareholders’ equity divided by shares outstanding (excluding restricted shares) of 197,311,570 as of December 31, 2015.

 

 

 

Market Concerns vs. Reality  CONCERN  Low oil prices diminishing value of orderbook  China & other emerging markets  Declining widebody aircraft values  Availability of credit REALITY  Stable new aircraft placements  Robust traffic growth in most markets  Stable demand for most widebodies  Closed 2015 with record liquidity

 

 

 

Low Oil Prices  Low oil prices are unequivocally good for aircraft leasing companies Airlines Continue to Demand New Aircraft Despite Low Fuel Environment Low oil prices boost airlines’ profitability and credit quality as fuel is one of their largest costs Airlines are passing along benefits to consumers via lower fares, driving higher traffic Airlines’ long-term fleet planning unaffected by short-term oil price volatility Fuel-efficient aircraft are the only way airlines can hedge against higher oil prices over the long term

 

 

 

China & Other Emerging Markets AerCap continues to place aircraft on favorable terms across the globe China Remains a Strong Market for AerCap Despite slower GDP growth, demand for air travel remains strong as China shifts toward consumer-based economy 10.9% traffic growth (RPKs) in 2015¹ Chinese airlines remain solidly profitable Over next 5 years, China domestic passenger traffic is expected to grow 8.6% annually¹ Global Traffic Remains Healthy Strong overall global traffic growth 6.5% in 2015 and 6.9% expected in 2016¹ South America² represents less than 5% of AerCap’s overall 2015 lease revenue, Brazil represents less than 1% Strong demand for used aircraft in the U.S. and Europe is absorbing the excess EM capacity Reduced exposure to Russia by 32 aircraft since 1H 2014 (1) Source: IATA. (2) Includes Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, and Ecuador.

 

 

 

China Growth Despite a slowing economy and volatile stock market, Chinese passenger growth remains robust China’s Real GDP Growth¹ China’s Domestic Traffic Growth (RPK)² Shanghai Stock Exchange Index³ (1) Source: IMF. (2) Source: IATA. (3) Source: Bloomberg (SHCOMP Index).

 

 

 

Track Record of Widebody Placement AerCap platform continues to successfully place widebody aircraft REMARKETING OF USED WIDEBODY AIRCRAFT IS WELL UNDER WAY Scheduled expiries (Dec. 31, 2014) Releases / Extensions¹ Sales Planned Part-outs Current Placement Requirement 83% of expiries through 2017 have already been placed² AerCap leased or sold ~100 widebody aircraft in 2015 Since September 2015, we have sold 6 Boeing 777- 200ERs with an average age of ~13 years for an average price of ~$50 million, all at a gain³ Demand for widebody aircraft remains strong; we have entered into LOIs or contracts for 15 Boeing 777 aircraft with 4 different airlines in the past 60 days Our conversion rate from LOI to contract is over 90% (1) Released or extended either under a lease or letter of intent as of February 15, 2016. (2) Either released, extended, sold or to be parted-out. (3) Includes disposals either executed, under a sale agreement or under a letter of intent as of February 15, 2016.

 

 

 

Operating Update

 

 

 

Consistent Margins  Since 2007, AerCap has grown its assets ten-fold with consistent 12% annual average EPS¹ growth through all economic cycles (1) 2007 Adjusted Basic EPS: $2.48; 2015 Adjusted Basic EPS: $6.26.

 

 

 

Consistent Fleet Utilization  AerCap has achieved stable fleet utilization through all economic cycles

 

 

 

Forward Leasing on Track  AerCap leases an aircraft every working day on average 276 Lease Agreements Executed in FY2015 out of 405 Aircraft Transactions Executed in FY2015 AERCAP EXECUTED MORE LEASE AGREEMENTS IN 2015 ALONE THAN THE NUMBER OF REQUIRED PLACEMENTS OVER THE NEXT THREE YEARS Unplaced new aircraft deliveries¹  Unplaced scheduled expiries¹ (1) Excludes leased aircraft either under a lease or letter of intent as of February 15, 2016; excludes aircraft identified as sale or part-out.

 

 

 

Order Book Placements Over 85% of our committed deliveries1 through 2018 are leased² ORDER BOOK DELIVERIES & PLACEMENT STATUS All of our aircraft delivering in the next 2 years are leased² First placement for 10 737 MAX 8s executed in January 2016 Overall, 30 new aircraft have been leased since 3Q 2015² (1) Excludes spare engine commitments. (2) Either under a lease contract or letter of intent as of February 15, 2016.

 

 

Trading Update Proven track record of active portfolio management ACTIVE TRADING OF BOTH OWNED AND MANAGED FLEET 438 aircraft sold and parted-out since 2006 Profitably managing aircraft through their lifecycle Average gain of ~$1.7 million per aircraft on owned aircraft sales and part-outs since 2006 Average age of aircraft sold ~14 years since 2006 AERCAP CONTINUED TO GENERATE SUSBTANTIAL GAIN ON SALES OF AIRCRAFT THROUGHOUT 2015 FY2015 Performance¹ On average, aircraft sold in 2015 were over 15 years old (1) Pre-tax gain on sale of assets and part-outs (owned fleet).

 

 

 

 

Receivables Trend AerCap continues to closely manage receivables Increase in arrears during September mainly attributable to Transaero - all 10 aircraft have been recovered and have already been leased or sold In spite of currency pressures in other emerging market economies, we have not seen any impact on payment punctuality

 

 

 

Investment Grade Capital Management AerCap remains committed to conservative capital management Metric  AerCap Targets Debt maturities  Continue to align debt maturities with operating cash flows Liquidity  Maintain strong liquidity position at ≥1.2x sources to uses - investment grade standard Maintain access to diverse sources of funding Available liquidity of over $9 billion as of December 31, 2015. Since the announcement of the ILFC transaction ~$20 billion of funding has been raised Debt mix  Targeting conservative secured/unsecured debt mix Secured debt is 28% of total assets as of December 31, 2015 – investment grade standard Leverage  Commitment to deleveraging – targeted debt to equity range: ~2.7-3.0 to 1 Ratio of 2.9 to 1 as of December 31, 2015 – investment grade standard Hedging  Hedge ~100% of interest rate risk Capex  Manageable capital expenditures of ~$5 billion per annum on average over the next three years for deliveries of contracted new aircraft Portfolio mix  Targeted sales of ~$1 billion of aircraft per annum, exceeded in 2015 for the second consecutive year; annual depreciation of ~$2 billion

 

 

 

Capital and Liquidity Initiatives Secured and unsecured markets are AerCap’s key sources for accessing capital $7.3 BILLION OF FUNDING COMPLETED IN 2015, including:  $1.0 billion Senior Unsecured Notes Issued upsized from $800 million $1.0 billion Senior Unsecured Notes Issued upsized from $400 million ~$2.0 billion New Secured Credit Facilities for 54 new & used aircraft ~$0.9 billion Upsize of Existing Revolvers and LCs ~$1.9 billion Refinancing of Existing Secured Term Loans $0.5 billion New Junior Subordinated Notes RECORD AVAILABLE LIQUIDITY: $9.2 billion of available liquidity as of December 31, 2015 Total sources of liquidity cover debt repayments and capital commitments for the next ~18 months $1.9 billion of funding raised since December at an average cost of ~3.6%

 

 

 

Strong Liquidity Position  Record liquidity of $9.2 billion demonstrates AerCap’s strong access to capital CONSISTENT COMMITMENT TO LIQUIDITY Available Liquidity Sources to Uses¹ Coverage Target (1) Total sources compared to next 12 months’ contractual obligations. Sources do not assume any additional financing for deliveries of new aircraft. Total sources of liquidity cover debt repayments and capital commitments for the next ~18 months Strong access to capital at attractive rates Raised $1.9 billion of funding since December 1, 2015 at blended cost of ~3.6 %

 

 

 

Cash ($ million) 2015 2014 Cash and Cash Equivalents as of December 31 (excl. restricted cash) 2,403.1  1,490.4 Total Cash Balance as of December 31 (incl. restricted cash) 2,822.5  2,207.8 Operating Cash Flow for the Full Year 3,360.0  2,313.7 Operating Cash Flow for the Fourth Quarter 953.8  839.7 Annual run-rate for operating cash flow is over $3 billion

 

 

 

Capital Structure Summary  4Q 2015  4Q 2014 Average Cost of Debt (including all fees)¹  3.7%  3.6% Debt / Equity Ratio  2.9 to 1  3.4 to 1 Debt/Equity Calculation ($ million)  4Q 2015  4Q 2014 Debt at Quarter-End (incl. fair value adjustments)  29,807  30,402 Adjusted for: Unrestricted cash & cash equivalents  (2,403)  (1,490) 50% equity credit for long-term subordinated debt² (750)  (500) Adjusted Debt at Quarter-End  26,654  28,412 Equity at Quarter-End  8,426  7,943 Adjusted for: 50% equity credit for long-term subordinated debt²  750  500 Adjusted Equity at Quarter-End  9,176  8,443 (1) Interest expense divided by average debt balance, excluding mark-to-market on interest rate caps and swaps. Our average cost of debt increased resulting from the repayment of older ILFC debt which was fair-valued at lower rates because of the shorter remaining tenor of the debt at the time of the acquisition. (2) Please refer to Note 12 – Debt in our quarterly report on Form 6-K for the second quarter ended June 30, 2015, filed with the SEC on August 18, 2015.

 

 

Q&A

 

 

Supplemental Information

 

 

Executed 405 Aircraft Transactions – Full Year 2015 AerCap continues to lease or sell an aircraft on average every 24 hours, consisting of two widebody and five narrowbody aircraft transactions per week 276 LEASE AGREEMENTS EXECUTED including: 71 widebody and 205 narrowbody aircraft 46 AIRCRAFT PURCHASED 83 AIRCRAFT DISPOSED Sale or part-out: 68 from our owned portfolio 15 from our managed portfolio

 

 

 

Aircraft Type  Leases Signed  Sales Executed Airbus A320 Family  104  22 Airbus A320neo Family  25  - Airbus A330  35  7 Airbus A340  3  5 Boeing 737NG  68  5 Boeing 737Classic  6  12 Boeing 747  3  5 Boeing 757  2  15 Boeing 767  14  3 Boeing 777  6  5 Boeing 787  9  2 Other  1  2 Total  276  83

 

 

 

Lease Portfolio  FY 2015  FY 2014 Utilization Rate¹ (%)  99.5  99.2 Portfolio Yield2 (%)  13.7  13.5 Average Lease Term (Previous 12 months) Leases for New Aircraft (Years)  11.4³  12.0 Leases for Used Aircraft (Years)  6.1⁴  4.5 Average Remaining Lease Term5 (Years)  5.9  5.7 (1) Utilization rate weighted by book value of flight equipment divided by total days in the period. (2) Lease revenue divided by average book value of flight equipment and maintenance rights intangible assets. (3) Lease agreements for 56 new aircraft signed in the previous 12 months. (4) Lease agreements for 220 used aircraft signed in the previous 12 months. (5) As of December 31, 2015 and 2014, respectively.

 

 

AerCap’s Platform Capabilities AerCap has executed 468 leases over the past 18 months, approx. 26 each month 355 narrowbody aircraft leases ~57% extensions¹ 113 widebody aircraft leases ~66% extensions¹ (1) Extension rate on existing leases.

 

 

 

High Quality and Well Diversified Portfolio as of December 31, 2015 Aircraft Type  Number of Owned Aircraft¹  % Net Book Value  Number of Managed & AerDragon Aircraft  Aircraft on Order²  Total Aircraft Airbus A319  137  7  11  -  148 Airbus A320  231  15  32  -  263 Airbus A320neo Family  -  -  -  209  209 Airbus A321  97  7  14  -  111 Airbus A330  115  15  13  -  128 Airbus A350  2  1  -  27  29 Boeing 737NG  319  28  43  1  363 Boeing 737MAX  -  -  -  109  109 Boeing 767  43  1  -  -  43 Boeing 777-200ER  34  5  4  -  38 Boeing 777-300 / 300ER  32  8  3  -  35 Boeing 787  31  11  -  51  82 Embraer E190 / 195-E2  -  -  -  50  50 Other  68  2  21  -  89 Total  1,109  100  141  447  1,697 Average age of owned aircraft fleet is 7.7 years Average remaining lease term is 5.9 years (1) Excluding AeroTurbine which owned four aircraft. (2) Excludes spare engine commitments.

 

 

 

AerCap La Touche House IFSC Dublin 1, Ireland +353 1 819 2010 contact@aercap.com